bayes_opt.acquisition.ProbabilityOfImprovement¶

class bayes_opt.acquisition.ProbabilityOfImprovement(xi: float, exploration_decay: float | None = None, exploration_decay_delay: int | None = None, random_state: int | RandomState | None = None) → None¶

Probability of Improvement acqusition function.

Calculated as

\[\text{POI}(x) = \Phi\left( \frac{\mu(x)-y_{\text{max}} - \xi }{\sigma(x)} \right)\]

where \(\Phi\) is the CDF of the normal distribution.

Parameters:¶

xi : float, positive¶

Governs the exploration/exploitation tradeoff. Lower prefers exploitation, higher prefers exploration.

exploration_decay : float, default None¶

Decay rate for xi. If None, no decay is applied.

exploration_decay_delay : int, default None¶

Delay for decay. If None, decay is applied from the start.

random_state : int, RandomState, default None¶

Set the random state for reproducibility.

base_acq(mean: ndarray[Any, dtype[floating[Any]]], std: ndarray[Any, dtype[floating[Any]]]) → ndarray[Any, dtype[floating[Any]]]¶

Calculate the probability of improvement.

Parameters:¶

mean : np.ndarray¶

Mean of the predictive distribution.

std : np.ndarray¶

Standard deviation of the predictive distribution.

Return type:¶

ndarray[Any, dtype[floating[Any]]]

Returns:¶

np.ndarray – Acquisition function value.

Raises:¶

ValueError – If y_max is not set.

decay_exploration() → None¶

Decay xi by a constant rate.

Adjust exploration/exploitation trade-off by reducing xi. :rtype: None

Note

This method is called automatically at the end of each suggest() call.

Return type:¶

None

suggest(gp: GaussianProcessRegressor, target_space: TargetSpace, n_random: int = 10000, n_l_bfgs_b: int = 10, fit_gp: bool = True) → ndarray[Any, dtype[floating[Any]]]¶

Suggest a promising point to probe next.

Parameters:¶

gp : GaussianProcessRegressor¶

A fitted Gaussian Process.

target_space : TargetSpace¶

The target space to probe.

n_random : int, default 10_000¶

Number of random samples to use.

n_l_bfgs_b : int, default 10¶

Number of starting points for the L-BFGS-B optimizer.

fit_gp : bool, default True¶

Whether to fit the Gaussian Process to the target space. Set to False if the GP is already fitted.

Return type:¶

ndarray[Any, dtype[floating[Any]]]

Returns:¶

np.ndarray – Suggested point to probe next.